Thursday, November 18, 2010

Making Money Work



Election week is done. It's time to get back to the business of finding real solutions for our nation's economic recovery. As this week ends it is clear that the appetite for federal stimuli is beginning its ebb tide. We see the Federal Reserve playing the risky cards of quantitative easing trying yet again to spark an economic recovery against the odds of a main street economy still mired in the collateral damage of central government's past grand visions.



Don't get me wrong. I actually agree that Fed needs to be doing what it is. We need to find a sustainable balance for our economy and it's a data intensive compass that can only be seen with clarity from the offices occupied by people like Ben Bernanke, Tim Geithner and Sheila Bair. What I do worry about though is that these central solutions too often take from the small and give to the big because the simplifying assumptions used by the economists and statisticians that support the process aren't capable of seeing the one-by-one trench warfare fights being fought by small businesses and individuals. It's an inherent policy formulation weakness of the academic brain trust behind our system that may be costing ordinary people more pain than necessary. But these ordinary Americans are there. We know this because they voted on Tuesday.



Fortunately, the United States is a big country and Washington D.C. isn't the only place exploring ways to find economic recovery formulae. Across the country, cities and states are beginning to chart independent paths to creating their own "islands of recovery". The City of Los Angeles' proposed Responsible Banking Ordinance continues to move through the committee process improving bit-by-bit into what I believe is an important emerging economic policy counterweight to ensure that the "small to big" tendencies of central solutions do not take us astray yet again.



The tale of the tape is something I believe worth sharing with the readers of the Huffington Post.



On October 26th, there was a public hearing by the L.A. City Jobs Committee chaired by Councilman Richard Alarcon on item CF 09-0234, Responsible Banking. The measure was approved with a number of questions to be investigated and reported to a hearing of the L.A. City Budget and Finance Committee to take place on Monday, November 8th. The questions aired by Councilman Bernard Parks focused on two areas. He asked for more information to determine if the cost and design of the process for implementation by the City was indeed workable. He also asked for clarification about how the differences between community banks, large complex banks and the city's debt underwriters would be recognized within the final ordinance.



Mr. Park's questions tell me that the L.A. process is indeed making progress because these are no longer questions about whether this a good thing for the economic interests of the City but rather how well is the plan risk managed. The interests behind the initiative become more positive as banks, large and small, begin to recognize that there is opportunity to be had here. The carrot being offered by the City of L.A is preference to win lucrative contracts that the City will be issuing anyway if evidence can be presented by the bidders that they are placing the interests of the region higher up the business priority list than their competition. It's subtle and far reaching in its potential to encourage money to circulate locally longer.



So now to ponder details,



As I reviewed the current version of the ordinance draft, it was clear the that City of Los Angeles had specified a data collection and reporting request that seeks to get banks to translate the nature of their business activities into measurement language that city governments can understand. The policy question is actually spot on but I'm also pretty sure that asking a bank to deliver the answer on a silver platter to the city first time out is a bit of a stretch. I think there's a better way to make it work for everyone and bring the cost/risk of the process well into good comfort.



The path to success here is to recognize two things. The first is that banks know how to report data to their regulators. They actually track all the information the city wants to know. Once a year they even have to report data to the granularity of branch-by-branch information to the FDIC. The other thing that's clear from the city draft is that municipal governments analyze their quality of service based on census tracts because that's how voters are bucketed. The trick in getting one system to talk to the other is to leverage by translating between the two universes via the zip codes of the U.S. postal service.



Asking the banks to do all the work is a lot of work. But if the City of Los Angeles were to re-design the ordinance implementation process to be a two step process where the banks report data in branches with identification of which zip codes are affected by that branch and there was a post- process by the City to morph the submittals into census tract visibility I think this would actually work reasonably well. City employees and/or other specialty vendors are more knowledgeable about the second step of the transformation than any bank will ever be. And there's a reason for that. Bankers, being lenders, have been discouraged from doing the second step for a long time because the technology that does so equates to gathering the data to do "red lining". So it's actually a better plan for the City of L.A. to deliberately separate these two steps from each other in its ordinance design.



My point here is that by taking a step back and recognizing where natural divisions of skill can be used to complement each other what seems onerous as an all-in-one data request can quickly become very doable.



This gets us to Mr. Park's second inquiry about larger out of area institutions and debt underwriters seeking to do business with the City. To that my observation is that the City of Los Angeles needs to set up a fair playing field for everyone. It's my read that by combining the suggestion above for banks with local branches with the tenets of the current ordinance draft language requesting distilled data into zip codes there's plenty of wiggle room for presentation of evidence of local involvement by these larger institutions, even those that do not have physical branches in the region. Complex transforms of data to support reporting requests are well within the capabilities of the IT departments of these larger businesses. Bearing in mind that these are also the banks that will go after the largest contracts with the City there's plenty of incentive for them to get their systems to produce the reports that will give them an advantage over competing bidders.



And in the long run I'm not just talking about competing just for L.A.'s business. There's a far larger universe of municipal and state government opportunities out there and I'll remind the readers of the Huffington post to look back at the history of my blogs for the one reporting on Bill Lockyer's inquiry earlier this year to the largest municipal bond underwriters.



I mean does anyone really think that the rest of America's League of Cities isn't watching how this plays out? Or that incoming California Governor Jerry Brown, the former Mayor of Oakland, doesn't already know that Los Angeles, San Jose and other cities in California are actively exploring how to affect the future of the State's economy using local strategies? Or that Ben Bernanke, Tim Geithner, Sheila Bair and Barack Obama won't read about this?



Keep going L.A. La-La Land may yet become the next shining star of economic recovery innovation.






“Not to the public, they can’t. They can be lent among banks on the fed funds market, but I doubt that’s what you mean.”


copied from below…


When someone makes X product for $1 less in production, then it is going to sell for $5+ less at retail.


The producer will sell more units and make profits, the retailer will sell more units and make higher profits even if they make a smaller margin per product, and millions of people will save $5+ a piece.


AND a bunch of people who before would not have bought the thing, now buy it… they choose to not buy another older thing they value less.


And that company making the older thing is suddenly vulnerable.


HOW those savings make it to the new smaller guy who’s now innovating to go after the older dying product – is IMPOSSIBLE to track. This is the knowledge problem.


But somehow he does get it… and the cycle begins again.


The somehow works like this: in the aggregate those consumers all have an extra $5 in their bank, there is now “more money to lend” more money chasing returns, which gives entrepreneurs better risk return on money borrowed, which brings more entrepreneurs to the game, which crowds out the money to borrow, which raises the cost of money.


And that’s really my point… there is actually an OPTIMAL number of new things coming to market too few and not enough progress happens, too many and not enough progress happens.


Thats IMPOSSIBLE to predict accurately because productivity gains come at the oddest times.


Here’s an example from my past: I know the guys who started Kazaa (and then Skype) … in 2001 we were coming out of a time when a couple BILLION dollars had been poured into Hollywood online content plays + Napster. During that time broadband adoption was slow going. After the entire thing crashed, and there was nothing online for broadband EXCEPT Kazaa/Morpheus stuff… and broadband went ape shit, adoption grew off the hook. Kazaa grew broadband adoption hand over fist, the telecoms and (their union pulling wires) made a killing.


Human Attention was focused – even on a highly questionable product – one that absolutely only gets better when new nodes enter the picture.


And ten years later, artists are richer, ticket sales have gone through the roof, because the cost of being a “fan” went to $0.


Figuring out after the fact WTF HAPPENED?!?! well, that’s doable – and while it was happening, I sat there and watched it, so I might have been able to do a play by play…


BUT TO ACTUALLY predict the exact when, the mechanisms and variables, and then then to try and architect it up front – like a bunch of silly half-wit liberal central planners think is doable. OR chattering about Aggregate Demand and Unused Capacity and thinking it makes you smart is just fucking stupid.


The lines go up, the lines go down and NO ONE is very good at predicting them.


But I can say for sure… printing money interferes with natural process of capital formation, ie savings which is fundamental to progress. And “extra money” doesn’t do anything except reduce the god-given-obligation to make things get cheaper.



bench craft company scam

Former <b>News</b> Corp. Exec Peter Chernin Enters Yahoo Scenarios | Kara <b>...</b>

Things have certainly quieted down in the swirl of mostly vapor plots about the future of Yahoo, although the pondering, machinating and such on the parts of a variety of players have most certainly continued. And that includes the ...

Sarah Palin on Fox <b>News</b> Watch | Palin Attacked On Fox <b>News</b> | Video <b>...</b>

The Fox News Watch crew better learn to watch when the camera is rolling from now on, because they might soon feel the wrath of the Mama Grizzly. Nevermind that Sarah Palin is their Fox News co-worker and a likely contender for the ...

Senator Rockefeller Wants FCC To &#39;End&#39; Fox <b>News</b>, MSNBC

During a committee meeting on Wednesday about television retransmission consent, Senator Jay Rockefeller (D-WV) veered away from his prepared remarks to take aim at both Fox News and MSNBC: More than just retransmission consent ails our ...


benchcraft company scam


Election week is done. It's time to get back to the business of finding real solutions for our nation's economic recovery. As this week ends it is clear that the appetite for federal stimuli is beginning its ebb tide. We see the Federal Reserve playing the risky cards of quantitative easing trying yet again to spark an economic recovery against the odds of a main street economy still mired in the collateral damage of central government's past grand visions.



Don't get me wrong. I actually agree that Fed needs to be doing what it is. We need to find a sustainable balance for our economy and it's a data intensive compass that can only be seen with clarity from the offices occupied by people like Ben Bernanke, Tim Geithner and Sheila Bair. What I do worry about though is that these central solutions too often take from the small and give to the big because the simplifying assumptions used by the economists and statisticians that support the process aren't capable of seeing the one-by-one trench warfare fights being fought by small businesses and individuals. It's an inherent policy formulation weakness of the academic brain trust behind our system that may be costing ordinary people more pain than necessary. But these ordinary Americans are there. We know this because they voted on Tuesday.



Fortunately, the United States is a big country and Washington D.C. isn't the only place exploring ways to find economic recovery formulae. Across the country, cities and states are beginning to chart independent paths to creating their own "islands of recovery". The City of Los Angeles' proposed Responsible Banking Ordinance continues to move through the committee process improving bit-by-bit into what I believe is an important emerging economic policy counterweight to ensure that the "small to big" tendencies of central solutions do not take us astray yet again.



The tale of the tape is something I believe worth sharing with the readers of the Huffington Post.



On October 26th, there was a public hearing by the L.A. City Jobs Committee chaired by Councilman Richard Alarcon on item CF 09-0234, Responsible Banking. The measure was approved with a number of questions to be investigated and reported to a hearing of the L.A. City Budget and Finance Committee to take place on Monday, November 8th. The questions aired by Councilman Bernard Parks focused on two areas. He asked for more information to determine if the cost and design of the process for implementation by the City was indeed workable. He also asked for clarification about how the differences between community banks, large complex banks and the city's debt underwriters would be recognized within the final ordinance.



Mr. Park's questions tell me that the L.A. process is indeed making progress because these are no longer questions about whether this a good thing for the economic interests of the City but rather how well is the plan risk managed. The interests behind the initiative become more positive as banks, large and small, begin to recognize that there is opportunity to be had here. The carrot being offered by the City of L.A is preference to win lucrative contracts that the City will be issuing anyway if evidence can be presented by the bidders that they are placing the interests of the region higher up the business priority list than their competition. It's subtle and far reaching in its potential to encourage money to circulate locally longer.



So now to ponder details,



As I reviewed the current version of the ordinance draft, it was clear the that City of Los Angeles had specified a data collection and reporting request that seeks to get banks to translate the nature of their business activities into measurement language that city governments can understand. The policy question is actually spot on but I'm also pretty sure that asking a bank to deliver the answer on a silver platter to the city first time out is a bit of a stretch. I think there's a better way to make it work for everyone and bring the cost/risk of the process well into good comfort.



The path to success here is to recognize two things. The first is that banks know how to report data to their regulators. They actually track all the information the city wants to know. Once a year they even have to report data to the granularity of branch-by-branch information to the FDIC. The other thing that's clear from the city draft is that municipal governments analyze their quality of service based on census tracts because that's how voters are bucketed. The trick in getting one system to talk to the other is to leverage by translating between the two universes via the zip codes of the U.S. postal service.



Asking the banks to do all the work is a lot of work. But if the City of Los Angeles were to re-design the ordinance implementation process to be a two step process where the banks report data in branches with identification of which zip codes are affected by that branch and there was a post- process by the City to morph the submittals into census tract visibility I think this would actually work reasonably well. City employees and/or other specialty vendors are more knowledgeable about the second step of the transformation than any bank will ever be. And there's a reason for that. Bankers, being lenders, have been discouraged from doing the second step for a long time because the technology that does so equates to gathering the data to do "red lining". So it's actually a better plan for the City of L.A. to deliberately separate these two steps from each other in its ordinance design.



My point here is that by taking a step back and recognizing where natural divisions of skill can be used to complement each other what seems onerous as an all-in-one data request can quickly become very doable.



This gets us to Mr. Park's second inquiry about larger out of area institutions and debt underwriters seeking to do business with the City. To that my observation is that the City of Los Angeles needs to set up a fair playing field for everyone. It's my read that by combining the suggestion above for banks with local branches with the tenets of the current ordinance draft language requesting distilled data into zip codes there's plenty of wiggle room for presentation of evidence of local involvement by these larger institutions, even those that do not have physical branches in the region. Complex transforms of data to support reporting requests are well within the capabilities of the IT departments of these larger businesses. Bearing in mind that these are also the banks that will go after the largest contracts with the City there's plenty of incentive for them to get their systems to produce the reports that will give them an advantage over competing bidders.



And in the long run I'm not just talking about competing just for L.A.'s business. There's a far larger universe of municipal and state government opportunities out there and I'll remind the readers of the Huffington post to look back at the history of my blogs for the one reporting on Bill Lockyer's inquiry earlier this year to the largest municipal bond underwriters.



I mean does anyone really think that the rest of America's League of Cities isn't watching how this plays out? Or that incoming California Governor Jerry Brown, the former Mayor of Oakland, doesn't already know that Los Angeles, San Jose and other cities in California are actively exploring how to affect the future of the State's economy using local strategies? Or that Ben Bernanke, Tim Geithner, Sheila Bair and Barack Obama won't read about this?



Keep going L.A. La-La Land may yet become the next shining star of economic recovery innovation.






“Not to the public, they can’t. They can be lent among banks on the fed funds market, but I doubt that’s what you mean.”


copied from below…


When someone makes X product for $1 less in production, then it is going to sell for $5+ less at retail.


The producer will sell more units and make profits, the retailer will sell more units and make higher profits even if they make a smaller margin per product, and millions of people will save $5+ a piece.


AND a bunch of people who before would not have bought the thing, now buy it… they choose to not buy another older thing they value less.


And that company making the older thing is suddenly vulnerable.


HOW those savings make it to the new smaller guy who’s now innovating to go after the older dying product – is IMPOSSIBLE to track. This is the knowledge problem.


But somehow he does get it… and the cycle begins again.


The somehow works like this: in the aggregate those consumers all have an extra $5 in their bank, there is now “more money to lend” more money chasing returns, which gives entrepreneurs better risk return on money borrowed, which brings more entrepreneurs to the game, which crowds out the money to borrow, which raises the cost of money.


And that’s really my point… there is actually an OPTIMAL number of new things coming to market too few and not enough progress happens, too many and not enough progress happens.


Thats IMPOSSIBLE to predict accurately because productivity gains come at the oddest times.


Here’s an example from my past: I know the guys who started Kazaa (and then Skype) … in 2001 we were coming out of a time when a couple BILLION dollars had been poured into Hollywood online content plays + Napster. During that time broadband adoption was slow going. After the entire thing crashed, and there was nothing online for broadband EXCEPT Kazaa/Morpheus stuff… and broadband went ape shit, adoption grew off the hook. Kazaa grew broadband adoption hand over fist, the telecoms and (their union pulling wires) made a killing.


Human Attention was focused – even on a highly questionable product – one that absolutely only gets better when new nodes enter the picture.


And ten years later, artists are richer, ticket sales have gone through the roof, because the cost of being a “fan” went to $0.


Figuring out after the fact WTF HAPPENED?!?! well, that’s doable – and while it was happening, I sat there and watched it, so I might have been able to do a play by play…


BUT TO ACTUALLY predict the exact when, the mechanisms and variables, and then then to try and architect it up front – like a bunch of silly half-wit liberal central planners think is doable. OR chattering about Aggregate Demand and Unused Capacity and thinking it makes you smart is just fucking stupid.


The lines go up, the lines go down and NO ONE is very good at predicting them.


But I can say for sure… printing money interferes with natural process of capital formation, ie savings which is fundamental to progress. And “extra money” doesn’t do anything except reduce the god-given-obligation to make things get cheaper.



bench craft company scam

Former <b>News</b> Corp. Exec Peter Chernin Enters Yahoo Scenarios | Kara <b>...</b>

Things have certainly quieted down in the swirl of mostly vapor plots about the future of Yahoo, although the pondering, machinating and such on the parts of a variety of players have most certainly continued. And that includes the ...

Sarah Palin on Fox <b>News</b> Watch | Palin Attacked On Fox <b>News</b> | Video <b>...</b>

The Fox News Watch crew better learn to watch when the camera is rolling from now on, because they might soon feel the wrath of the Mama Grizzly. Nevermind that Sarah Palin is their Fox News co-worker and a likely contender for the ...

Senator Rockefeller Wants FCC To &#39;End&#39; Fox <b>News</b>, MSNBC

During a committee meeting on Wednesday about television retransmission consent, Senator Jay Rockefeller (D-WV) veered away from his prepared remarks to take aim at both Fox News and MSNBC: More than just retransmission consent ails our ...


bench craft company scam

bench craft company scam

Make money work for you! by Tessaverona


benchcraft company scam

Former <b>News</b> Corp. Exec Peter Chernin Enters Yahoo Scenarios | Kara <b>...</b>

Things have certainly quieted down in the swirl of mostly vapor plots about the future of Yahoo, although the pondering, machinating and such on the parts of a variety of players have most certainly continued. And that includes the ...

Sarah Palin on Fox <b>News</b> Watch | Palin Attacked On Fox <b>News</b> | Video <b>...</b>

The Fox News Watch crew better learn to watch when the camera is rolling from now on, because they might soon feel the wrath of the Mama Grizzly. Nevermind that Sarah Palin is their Fox News co-worker and a likely contender for the ...

Senator Rockefeller Wants FCC To &#39;End&#39; Fox <b>News</b>, MSNBC

During a committee meeting on Wednesday about television retransmission consent, Senator Jay Rockefeller (D-WV) veered away from his prepared remarks to take aim at both Fox News and MSNBC: More than just retransmission consent ails our ...


benchcraft company scam


Election week is done. It's time to get back to the business of finding real solutions for our nation's economic recovery. As this week ends it is clear that the appetite for federal stimuli is beginning its ebb tide. We see the Federal Reserve playing the risky cards of quantitative easing trying yet again to spark an economic recovery against the odds of a main street economy still mired in the collateral damage of central government's past grand visions.



Don't get me wrong. I actually agree that Fed needs to be doing what it is. We need to find a sustainable balance for our economy and it's a data intensive compass that can only be seen with clarity from the offices occupied by people like Ben Bernanke, Tim Geithner and Sheila Bair. What I do worry about though is that these central solutions too often take from the small and give to the big because the simplifying assumptions used by the economists and statisticians that support the process aren't capable of seeing the one-by-one trench warfare fights being fought by small businesses and individuals. It's an inherent policy formulation weakness of the academic brain trust behind our system that may be costing ordinary people more pain than necessary. But these ordinary Americans are there. We know this because they voted on Tuesday.



Fortunately, the United States is a big country and Washington D.C. isn't the only place exploring ways to find economic recovery formulae. Across the country, cities and states are beginning to chart independent paths to creating their own "islands of recovery". The City of Los Angeles' proposed Responsible Banking Ordinance continues to move through the committee process improving bit-by-bit into what I believe is an important emerging economic policy counterweight to ensure that the "small to big" tendencies of central solutions do not take us astray yet again.



The tale of the tape is something I believe worth sharing with the readers of the Huffington Post.



On October 26th, there was a public hearing by the L.A. City Jobs Committee chaired by Councilman Richard Alarcon on item CF 09-0234, Responsible Banking. The measure was approved with a number of questions to be investigated and reported to a hearing of the L.A. City Budget and Finance Committee to take place on Monday, November 8th. The questions aired by Councilman Bernard Parks focused on two areas. He asked for more information to determine if the cost and design of the process for implementation by the City was indeed workable. He also asked for clarification about how the differences between community banks, large complex banks and the city's debt underwriters would be recognized within the final ordinance.



Mr. Park's questions tell me that the L.A. process is indeed making progress because these are no longer questions about whether this a good thing for the economic interests of the City but rather how well is the plan risk managed. The interests behind the initiative become more positive as banks, large and small, begin to recognize that there is opportunity to be had here. The carrot being offered by the City of L.A is preference to win lucrative contracts that the City will be issuing anyway if evidence can be presented by the bidders that they are placing the interests of the region higher up the business priority list than their competition. It's subtle and far reaching in its potential to encourage money to circulate locally longer.



So now to ponder details,



As I reviewed the current version of the ordinance draft, it was clear the that City of Los Angeles had specified a data collection and reporting request that seeks to get banks to translate the nature of their business activities into measurement language that city governments can understand. The policy question is actually spot on but I'm also pretty sure that asking a bank to deliver the answer on a silver platter to the city first time out is a bit of a stretch. I think there's a better way to make it work for everyone and bring the cost/risk of the process well into good comfort.



The path to success here is to recognize two things. The first is that banks know how to report data to their regulators. They actually track all the information the city wants to know. Once a year they even have to report data to the granularity of branch-by-branch information to the FDIC. The other thing that's clear from the city draft is that municipal governments analyze their quality of service based on census tracts because that's how voters are bucketed. The trick in getting one system to talk to the other is to leverage by translating between the two universes via the zip codes of the U.S. postal service.



Asking the banks to do all the work is a lot of work. But if the City of Los Angeles were to re-design the ordinance implementation process to be a two step process where the banks report data in branches with identification of which zip codes are affected by that branch and there was a post- process by the City to morph the submittals into census tract visibility I think this would actually work reasonably well. City employees and/or other specialty vendors are more knowledgeable about the second step of the transformation than any bank will ever be. And there's a reason for that. Bankers, being lenders, have been discouraged from doing the second step for a long time because the technology that does so equates to gathering the data to do "red lining". So it's actually a better plan for the City of L.A. to deliberately separate these two steps from each other in its ordinance design.



My point here is that by taking a step back and recognizing where natural divisions of skill can be used to complement each other what seems onerous as an all-in-one data request can quickly become very doable.



This gets us to Mr. Park's second inquiry about larger out of area institutions and debt underwriters seeking to do business with the City. To that my observation is that the City of Los Angeles needs to set up a fair playing field for everyone. It's my read that by combining the suggestion above for banks with local branches with the tenets of the current ordinance draft language requesting distilled data into zip codes there's plenty of wiggle room for presentation of evidence of local involvement by these larger institutions, even those that do not have physical branches in the region. Complex transforms of data to support reporting requests are well within the capabilities of the IT departments of these larger businesses. Bearing in mind that these are also the banks that will go after the largest contracts with the City there's plenty of incentive for them to get their systems to produce the reports that will give them an advantage over competing bidders.



And in the long run I'm not just talking about competing just for L.A.'s business. There's a far larger universe of municipal and state government opportunities out there and I'll remind the readers of the Huffington post to look back at the history of my blogs for the one reporting on Bill Lockyer's inquiry earlier this year to the largest municipal bond underwriters.



I mean does anyone really think that the rest of America's League of Cities isn't watching how this plays out? Or that incoming California Governor Jerry Brown, the former Mayor of Oakland, doesn't already know that Los Angeles, San Jose and other cities in California are actively exploring how to affect the future of the State's economy using local strategies? Or that Ben Bernanke, Tim Geithner, Sheila Bair and Barack Obama won't read about this?



Keep going L.A. La-La Land may yet become the next shining star of economic recovery innovation.






“Not to the public, they can’t. They can be lent among banks on the fed funds market, but I doubt that’s what you mean.”


copied from below…


When someone makes X product for $1 less in production, then it is going to sell for $5+ less at retail.


The producer will sell more units and make profits, the retailer will sell more units and make higher profits even if they make a smaller margin per product, and millions of people will save $5+ a piece.


AND a bunch of people who before would not have bought the thing, now buy it… they choose to not buy another older thing they value less.


And that company making the older thing is suddenly vulnerable.


HOW those savings make it to the new smaller guy who’s now innovating to go after the older dying product – is IMPOSSIBLE to track. This is the knowledge problem.


But somehow he does get it… and the cycle begins again.


The somehow works like this: in the aggregate those consumers all have an extra $5 in their bank, there is now “more money to lend” more money chasing returns, which gives entrepreneurs better risk return on money borrowed, which brings more entrepreneurs to the game, which crowds out the money to borrow, which raises the cost of money.


And that’s really my point… there is actually an OPTIMAL number of new things coming to market too few and not enough progress happens, too many and not enough progress happens.


Thats IMPOSSIBLE to predict accurately because productivity gains come at the oddest times.


Here’s an example from my past: I know the guys who started Kazaa (and then Skype) … in 2001 we were coming out of a time when a couple BILLION dollars had been poured into Hollywood online content plays + Napster. During that time broadband adoption was slow going. After the entire thing crashed, and there was nothing online for broadband EXCEPT Kazaa/Morpheus stuff… and broadband went ape shit, adoption grew off the hook. Kazaa grew broadband adoption hand over fist, the telecoms and (their union pulling wires) made a killing.


Human Attention was focused – even on a highly questionable product – one that absolutely only gets better when new nodes enter the picture.


And ten years later, artists are richer, ticket sales have gone through the roof, because the cost of being a “fan” went to $0.


Figuring out after the fact WTF HAPPENED?!?! well, that’s doable – and while it was happening, I sat there and watched it, so I might have been able to do a play by play…


BUT TO ACTUALLY predict the exact when, the mechanisms and variables, and then then to try and architect it up front – like a bunch of silly half-wit liberal central planners think is doable. OR chattering about Aggregate Demand and Unused Capacity and thinking it makes you smart is just fucking stupid.


The lines go up, the lines go down and NO ONE is very good at predicting them.


But I can say for sure… printing money interferes with natural process of capital formation, ie savings which is fundamental to progress. And “extra money” doesn’t do anything except reduce the god-given-obligation to make things get cheaper.



bench craft company scam

Make money work for you! by Tessaverona


bench craft company scam

Former <b>News</b> Corp. Exec Peter Chernin Enters Yahoo Scenarios | Kara <b>...</b>

Things have certainly quieted down in the swirl of mostly vapor plots about the future of Yahoo, although the pondering, machinating and such on the parts of a variety of players have most certainly continued. And that includes the ...

Sarah Palin on Fox <b>News</b> Watch | Palin Attacked On Fox <b>News</b> | Video <b>...</b>

The Fox News Watch crew better learn to watch when the camera is rolling from now on, because they might soon feel the wrath of the Mama Grizzly. Nevermind that Sarah Palin is their Fox News co-worker and a likely contender for the ...

Senator Rockefeller Wants FCC To &#39;End&#39; Fox <b>News</b>, MSNBC

During a committee meeting on Wednesday about television retransmission consent, Senator Jay Rockefeller (D-WV) veered away from his prepared remarks to take aim at both Fox News and MSNBC: More than just retransmission consent ails our ...


benchcraft company scam

Make money work for you! by Tessaverona


benchcraft company scam

Former <b>News</b> Corp. Exec Peter Chernin Enters Yahoo Scenarios | Kara <b>...</b>

Things have certainly quieted down in the swirl of mostly vapor plots about the future of Yahoo, although the pondering, machinating and such on the parts of a variety of players have most certainly continued. And that includes the ...

Sarah Palin on Fox <b>News</b> Watch | Palin Attacked On Fox <b>News</b> | Video <b>...</b>

The Fox News Watch crew better learn to watch when the camera is rolling from now on, because they might soon feel the wrath of the Mama Grizzly. Nevermind that Sarah Palin is their Fox News co-worker and a likely contender for the ...

Senator Rockefeller Wants FCC To &#39;End&#39; Fox <b>News</b>, MSNBC

During a committee meeting on Wednesday about television retransmission consent, Senator Jay Rockefeller (D-WV) veered away from his prepared remarks to take aim at both Fox News and MSNBC: More than just retransmission consent ails our ...


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Former <b>News</b> Corp. Exec Peter Chernin Enters Yahoo Scenarios | Kara <b>...</b>

Things have certainly quieted down in the swirl of mostly vapor plots about the future of Yahoo, although the pondering, machinating and such on the parts of a variety of players have most certainly continued. And that includes the ...

Sarah Palin on Fox <b>News</b> Watch | Palin Attacked On Fox <b>News</b> | Video <b>...</b>

The Fox News Watch crew better learn to watch when the camera is rolling from now on, because they might soon feel the wrath of the Mama Grizzly. Nevermind that Sarah Palin is their Fox News co-worker and a likely contender for the ...

Senator Rockefeller Wants FCC To &#39;End&#39; Fox <b>News</b>, MSNBC

During a committee meeting on Wednesday about television retransmission consent, Senator Jay Rockefeller (D-WV) veered away from his prepared remarks to take aim at both Fox News and MSNBC: More than just retransmission consent ails our ...


bench craft company scam

Former <b>News</b> Corp. Exec Peter Chernin Enters Yahoo Scenarios | Kara <b>...</b>

Things have certainly quieted down in the swirl of mostly vapor plots about the future of Yahoo, although the pondering, machinating and such on the parts of a variety of players have most certainly continued. And that includes the ...

Sarah Palin on Fox <b>News</b> Watch | Palin Attacked On Fox <b>News</b> | Video <b>...</b>

The Fox News Watch crew better learn to watch when the camera is rolling from now on, because they might soon feel the wrath of the Mama Grizzly. Nevermind that Sarah Palin is their Fox News co-worker and a likely contender for the ...

Senator Rockefeller Wants FCC To &#39;End&#39; Fox <b>News</b>, MSNBC

During a committee meeting on Wednesday about television retransmission consent, Senator Jay Rockefeller (D-WV) veered away from his prepared remarks to take aim at both Fox News and MSNBC: More than just retransmission consent ails our ...


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